| THE POLITICS OF POST - TSUNAMI RENAISSANCE by D.B.S.JEYARAJ Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga was forced to cut short her holiday in Britain because of the Tsunami disaster and return to Sri Lanka. One of her foremost tasks after reaching Colombo was to "undo" all what Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa had accomplished within a short time - frame in the immediate aftermath of the tragedy and bring the entire relief and re - construction effort under the centralised authority of the president. The speedy return and "sacrifice" of holiday seems to have been propelled more by narrow political considerations rather than overwhelming concern for the affected people. Her brother Anura vacationing in the USA was not in a hurry like the sister. Perhaps he was confident that his perceived rival from Girawapattu would have his wings clipped because his "akki" had returned to do the needful. Finally "Mallo" too managed to get hold of a return flight and came home 12 days later. One of his first tasks was to criticise the 100 metre limit on the coast reportedly proposed by the Prime Minister. "Stupid idea" he called it. It seemed obvious that the tourism minister was aiming to protect and foster the tourism sector at all costs while playing intra - party political rivalry. This column too feels that the knee jerk reaction to impose limits on re- building or fresh construction along the coast was not a sound decision. This is because this column opines that the displaced people particularly the fisherfolk should not be prevented from returning to their homes if they so desired. Moreover keeping people in refugee camps while an inefficient government plodded on with the slow rebuilding of houses was not fair by the displaced. The solution to another possible tsunami was not to clear the coastal areas but set up effective warning systems and erecting protective barriers. But Bandaranaikes concern in this case was to preserve tourism. Now TAFREN"s Mano Tittawela too says that these 100, 200, 300 metre limits will be evaluated on a sector by sector basis. Given Mr. Bandaranaikes political clout and the power of the tourism lobby there is no doubt that the hotels will continue to dot the coastal landscape tsunami or not. What this column fears is that ultimately the pre- tsunami inhabitants of the coast are going to be uprooted in the name of post- tsunami development while choicy chunks of valuable coastal real estate will be utilised to the advantage of the powerful and privileged.In a flagrant exhibition of double standards coastal dwellers will be relocated on the pretext of safety while tourist resorts will spread tentacles all over the beaches. Anura Bandaranaike's determination to prioritise the needs of the tourism sector over and above the larger interests of the displaced population at large is only symptomatic of a deeper malaise. The manner in which President Kumaratunga and her cronies have been going about this massive humanitarian task of rehabilitating and re - building tsunami affected Sri Lanka leaves much to be desired. Two trends seem patently clear. The post - tsunami reconstruction is being done in a highly questionable, secretive centralised approach under which the voices of the affected underclass are not being heard.If fate in the form of tsunami has dealt the underprivileged a terrible blow the state in the name of post - tsunami relief is arbitrarily deciding the future of this pathetically marginalised sector. Secondly the post - tsunami rebuilding effort seems to be going far beyond the imperative need to alleviate sufferings of the affected and displaced people. The ambitious plans formulated without consulting the affected people envisage heavy allocation of resources and investment in projects totally outside the parameters of post - tsunami rebuilding. A powerful indicator of the disparity in global perspective has been the response of the rich countries towards the tsunami disaster and the AIDS situation in Africa. As Stephen Lewis the UN special envoy on the issue of combating aids notes the Western nations and Japan have enthusiastically pledged towards Asian tsunami reconstruction within a month a sum nearly equal to that of what has been grudgingly allocated over a period of four years to treatment and prevention of aids in Africa. The reasons for this are well -known. Sri Lanka has been particularly fortunate in attracting the western world's sympathy thanks mainly to the excessive attention given by global media , the spontaneous upsurge of caring concern amid foreign people , the high profile visits of people like Colin Powell, Kofi Annan, Paul Martin etc and the untiring efforts of its ethnically divided Diaspora that engaging in propaganda with different objectives. The Country was also lucky because of the international situation with the prickly politics of Jakarta - BandaAceh on the one hand and India declining international assistance on the other. Thus Sri Lanka remains the major beneficiary of international munificence. Making hay while the sun shines Colombo has drawn up elaborate plans for reconstruction costing $3.8 billion US dollars. Iran in the immediate aftermath of an earthquake received pledges of more than a billion dollars. Yet only 17million dollars have been actually given so far. Some doubt whether Sri Lanka too would be given the same treatment as time goes by. Others feel that the situation is different and that Sri Lanka would definitely get staggered tsunami aid to the tune of at least 2 billion US dollars. It could be even more if Sri Lanka performs well and delivers by way of reconstruction and strengthening the peace process. But then there is that very big IF. A notable feature of the "charity"phenomenon towards tsunami victims in the developed world is that it is fundamentally people driven. Due to many reasons there was a genuine upsurge of sympathy among the ordinary people in these countries towards tsunami affected regions. The people gave and gave as never before responding to a disaster in another region. Numerous little children broke open their piggy banks in touching gestures. The foreign governments had to take this popular feeling into account when pledging massive amounts for relief and rehabilitation because the people wanted it so. In that context the chances of governments renegading on their pledges on a large scale are very unlikely. At the same time Kumaratunga and her lackeys must note that this international generosity is a "people to people" gift meant for the affected victims and not for other purposes. What troubles this column is that the massive aid given Sri Lanka could be abused and misused. Despite lofty pronouncements and pseudo - Churchillian rhetoric Kumaratunga is showing all the signs of negative bungling as has been typical in the past. The first lady who steadfastly remains unpunctual in spite of a decade as President remains true to form as a person who will not or cannot change. Her track record in the post - tsunami phase too does not augur well for the future. Lets do a quick survey! Chandrika returns home and immediately dissolves the structures set up by her Prime Minister. She brings everything under her control. The tsunami crisis and aftermath required a de - centralised approach given the socio - political - economic aspects of affected society. What was needed by the government was to outline broad policy and coordinate all relief and rehabilitation activity Instead of coordination we have excessive centralization that stifles and suppresses. People without any touch with grass root realities are laying out guidelines enmeshed in red tape. Apart from its impracticality this centralization goes against the general thrust of Constitutional reform which seeks to devolve more power to the periphery. This centralization has been exclusive, secretive and despite bombastic propaganda to the contrary flawed and ineffective. The Prime Minister and important ministers including those from affected areas are excluded in the major decision making or policy formulation process. The coalition partner Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna which has its political stronghold in the affected southern province is not consulted or included. The chief opposition except for some exercise in optics is out too. The Parliamentarians representing the East and North too are not in.. Neither the Tamil National Alliance nor the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress have been consulted formally. What has been done is to set up three task forces under the President. The two crucial ones are headed by her confidantes Tara de Mel and Mano Tittawela both of whom hold other posts too. There is no doubt that both of them particularly de Mel are capable efficient people. The point however is that vital functions regarding tsunami relief and reconstruction have been placed under centralised authority that bypasses in some way the civil administration and does not give priority to the people. In the case of TAFREN under Tittawela many of the members are from the private sector. These are successful commercial giants but totally out of place in the TAFREN set up. What is needed more in such an institution is participation of the affected people or their representatives. It is only then that the concerns and welfare of the ordinary people will be accommodated and protected. The entrepreneurial class will certainly reconstruct but the interests of the people will not be central to these efforts. The foreign aid is being given to the people of Sri Lanka and not to Presidential favourites to dispose of.as they wish. Efficiency cannot be the sole criterion. Even fascists were efficient. What is of utmost importance here is that the needs and hopes of tsunami affected peoples interests are given priority. Unfortunately that is not what is happening now. The affected people of whom around 75% are fisherfolk are not being consulted at all. Most tsunami victims are in a dazed state still. In most cases even the relief provided has not reached them fully. The victims are living in camps, with relatives and friends or in their partially damaged dwellings. Few have returned to work. As far as fisherfolk are concerned they should be facilitated to resume fishing as soon as possible. It is both therapy and economics. Bureaucratic bunglers will not encourage that. Refugees in school camps are being forced to move out so that schools could reopen. There is a conflict of interests here between Tara de Mel the education secretary who wants all schools running and Tara de Mel the refugee commissar who should ideally look out for refugees first. The refugees are being made tent dwellers in a hurried mode. This government failed the people miserably in the days even weeks after the tsunami. If not for civil society comprising ordinary people, non - governmental organizations, religious groups, security forces and LTTE the people would have starved. A slow government machinery is yet to establish itself in tsunami areas. Yet this top heavy Presidential task force has been quick to rush out with an elaborate reconstruction plan. This from a government that is hopelessly muddled with even the figures of the dead as two different organs are coming out with widely disparate figures. It appears despicable that a government should go public with a rebuilding plan even before the dead are accounted for. Worse still is that this plan has no input from the people . Even full particulars from the victims have not been collected or tabulated. Northern refugee camps for instance have been sent Sinhala and English forms to be filled out though victims there are mono lingually Tamil. How on earth did these people in Colombo formulate a rebuilding plan even before full particulars of the victims were obtained?Belated newspaper advertisements are appearing calling for proposals. The actual affected people are not in a position to say anything constructive right now. All this shows an abysmal contempt for the victims in whose names the aid is being obtained. One also learns that local expertise has been spurned in formulating plans. A team of foreigners without any real awareness of social realities are there advising. There seems no evidence that any grass roots surveys were done before coming out with plans. Sri Lanka has the dubious distinction of being the first country to come out with a plan to beg for donor aid. India nor Thailand have formulated a plan yet because tsunami assessments are not over. Sri Lanka however rushes out with a development plan before needs are taken care of or requirements are properly assessed. It appears that the state which failed the people is now trying to garner funds in the name of the victims and utilise them for ambitious construction schemes instead of the people. The scanty funds allocated for peoples needs as opposed to "new" construction shows a huge discrepancy. It illustrates clearly that the focus is not on the needs of the people. The difference between local common sense and foreign expertise was illustrated in several refugee camps in the East. Lack of toilets and overcrowding was a big problem. The foreign experts were talking of a toilet crisis. Yet locals with years of catering to refugees came out with a practical suggestion. Refugees were allowed to go out of camps to other non - damaged houses in the areas and share facilities. Presto! and the problem was resolved to a great extent.. No one is blaming the foreign experts but they do lack awareness of social life here. The 100 - 200 - 300 metre limits and attempt to forcibly relocate fisherfolk seems to have been made in the ivory towers of Colombo. The fisherfolk cannot be separated from proximity to the sea. The important thing is to get them back in the sea doing what they always did - fishing!. There is no guarantee that the next tsunami will hit the same place it hit earlier. So focusing only on these tsunami hit areas for relocation is downright silly unless of course the hidden agenda is to get them out of the way and seize those lands for other reasons. Besides what would these ivory tower planners have done if the tsunami had hit Colombo and Negombo and Moratuwa etc. Evacuate all people on and to the west of Galle Road? This idea of relocating and preventing people from returning home is a terrible blunder. The protests in Hambantota and Matara and Galle by the slowly recovering people is only the beginning. In the East where densely populated Muslim settlements dot the coast this rule cannot be applied mechanically. From Sainthamaruthu to Hambantota there is much resistance among tsunami victims to these resettlement plans. The North - East seems very much neglected in the reconstruction plans.. There is clear proof that aid is yet to get through fully to the people there. Joseph Pararajasingham complained that only five minutes was allocated in a two hour meeting to discuss tsunami issues in Colombo. Though Amparai was the district affected most state media focuses very little on that. Due to majoritarian political considerations most of the state sponsored attention is on the Sinhala areas alone. Very little is known about the tiger controlled areas of the North and pockets in the east. It is hard to believe that a government which played politics to the low level of keeping the UN secy - gen out of LTTE controlled areas could ever do the right thing by minority areas. The policy makers in Colombo seem oblivious to the fact that the rumblings of discontent in a post - tsunami scenario are heard not only among Tamils but also among Muslims. This however does not in anyway detract from the magnificient manner in which ordinary Sinhala people rushed to help Tamil and Muslim brethren after tsunami. It is not the Sinhala people but their politicians and bureaucrats who are at fault. Though Amparai district suffered the most the first project was announced not there but in Hambantota. The North - East accounted for more than two -thirds of victims but the government seems preoccupied with the South alone. If this then is the order of things and the tsunami victims are not being consulted when formulating resettlement plans then for whose benefit are projects being set up?The centralised and exclusivist nature of planning displays a blatant lack of accountability and transparency. The answer seems obvious. The ambitious and grandiose projects envisaged mean a lot of money. Cronyism being what it is a parasitic element is sure to latch on. One can be sure that a hell of a lot of graft and corruption is going to occur. What will the JVP do? Make some noise and share the gravy train? or take a principled stand? If the power coterie in government circles is too greedy and keeps the JVP out then the "rathu sahodarayas" may have to make a virtue out of necessity and take up an opposing stance. One cannot be naive not to presume that much of the aid will have strings attached. Many of the proposed projects could be anti - poor and anti - common people. After relocating the fisherfolk from their coastal habitat tracts and tracts of coastal areas could be given over to tourist resorts. The small fisherman could be eliminated and big international fishing cartels move in to our seas and shores. Kumaratunga herself has indicated that she will now move firmly on projects that were put on hold because of protests from the people. So anti - environmental, anti - poor people projects like Noracholai coal power, Upper Kotmale power, Eppawela phosphate etc could be rammed through. The contemplated water privatisation bill is only a sign of things to come. The people however pathetic and powerless will not go under without resistance. There will be organized opposition to these post - tsunami anti - poor plans. Anticipating this perhaps the emergency has been declared silently. The armed forces have been given powers in the relief work. The emergency treats speaking out against specific projects as an offence promoting disaffection among the people. The emergency tsunami laws also allows for confessions made to an ASP admissible as evidence like in the PTA thus doing away with a vital safeguard in the evidence ordinance against torture and coercion under custody. So a possible doomsday scenario could be that of protests against post - tsunami renaissance projects erupting among the people and being ruthlessly crushed by the state. Against that backdrop the question of democracy could become a question mark. Elections could be postponed and a union of the powerful could be established. Kumaratungas remarks at Hambantota provide an insight into the future. In this dismal climate four factors are crucial in determining the future. First the role to be played by the JVP and UNP. Will they go along with this or oppose? Second the LTTE and how it would fit in all this. Will it strike a deal with Colombo and do its own thing in the North - East or will it get entangled in conflict again? Third the extent to which relatively weaker sections of society organize themselves and protest and how the independent media treats these issues. Fourth the international communities response to blatantly anti - democratic , anti - poor actions by the Lankan state. Will the cash flow continue or run dry?There is a "fifth" too. The demonstrated inability of the Kumaratunga regime to push through projects efficiently. Can she with all sincerity deliver what she promises? The tsunami disaster was a great set back. The ordinary people rose above race, religion, caste and creed to face that crisis. Now a hopelessly inefficient state that failed the people in their time of need is trying to take control of the lives of the victims and make decisions for them without any consultation. This could have drastic consequences. If mishandled the politics of post - tsunami renaissance could be another debilitating disaster. The people must keep vigil on their rulers to prevent such a calamity. [Sunday Leader] |
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